- On Sept. 14, a trader bought 8,000 options that would pay off if the price of GreenSky rose above $10, according to the market participants.
- After news of the Goldman deal hit the next day, the value of the contracts skyrocketed. The trader made an astounding 3,900% gain in a single day, the market sources say.
- Overall wagers in soon-to-be-profitable $10 call options surged over the last two weeks, indicating that it's possible multiple traders had knowledge of the deal.
The day before Goldman Sachs announced its $2.2 billion purchase of fintech lender GreenSky, someone placed options trades that immediately soared in value, moves that market participants say indicates advance knowledge of the deal.
On Sept. 14, the trader bought 8,000 options that would only pay off if the price of GreenSky rose above $10, according to the market participants. The options were out of the money — meaning that GreenSky was trading well below the strike price — and cost as little as a nickel per share.
Get Tri-state area news and weather forecasts to your inbox. Sign up for NBC New York newsletters.
After news of the deal hit, the value of the contracts, each allowing for the purchase of 100 shares of GreenSky, skyrocketed. The trader made an astounding 3,900% gain in a single day on contracts expiring Sept. 17, the market sources say. That means a $40,000 bet would have turned into about $1.6 million.
Acquisitions are complicated transactions involving teams of bankers, lawyers and other specialists with access to market-moving information. With that many sets of eyes on a deal, information often leaks. As many as one-quarter of all public company deals result in some form of insider trading, often involving out-of-the-money calls in the options market, according to a 2014 academic study.
Although there have been insider-trading cases ensnaring high-profile perpetrators, instances in which people used material, nonpublic information in the markets, most times the activity goes unpunished, according to the 2014 study by professors at the Stern School of Business at New York University and McGill University.
Goldman Sachs and GreenSky declined to comment for this article. The Securities and Exchange Commission and the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority didn't immediately return calls seeking comment.
Goldman was its own financial advisor and used Sullivan & Cromwell as legal counsel. JPMorgan Chase and FT Partners advised GreenSky, which also used law firms Cravath, Swaine & Moore and Troutman Pepper Hamilton Sanders.
GreenSky's board also retained its own bankers and lawyers at Piper Sandler and Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati. The banks and law firms declined to comment or didn't immediately respond to messages.
'Nobody's that lucky'
The Sept. 14 trades weren't the only unusually prescient bets made ahead of the Goldman deal.
Options activity for GreenSky is typically muted, with fewer than 1,000 calls making up the average daily volume. Wagers in soon-to-be-profitable $10 call options surged over the last two weeks, however, indicating that it's possible multiple traders had knowledge of the deal.
Volumes went from 153 calls on Sept. 7 to 7,175 calls by Sept. 9, according to Jon Najarian, a veteran trader and CNBC contributor. By Sept. 13, two days before the announcement, call volumes hit 12,755. The contracts were mostly sold for a profit on Sept. 15, he said.
"When we see unusual activity like that, we tend to think that somebody had tomorrow's newspaper today," Najarian said. "Nobody's that lucky. Whoever bought those calls will probably face regulators."
The trades were so brazen — with some of the calls set to expire in just days — that whoever made them must be inexperienced, according to a former Wall Street executive with more than four decades of markets knowledge. There are ways to structure the bets that would make them less obvious to regulators, he said.
"This looks like a 22-year-old kid who didn't know what they were doing," he said. "But it's a no-brainer, they had inside information."
Financial columnist Matt Levine, a former Goldman banker who has written extensively about insider trading, has a few guidelines when it comes to the prohibited activity. His first rule ("Don't do it") is followed by a second:
"If you have inside information about an upcoming merger, don't buy short-dated out-of-the-money call options on the target," Levine wrote in a 2014 column. "The SEC will get you!"
— CNBC's Bob Pisani contributed to this report.
Become a smarter investor with CNBC Pro.
Get stock picks, analyst calls, exclusive interviews and access to CNBC TV.
Sign up to start a free trial today.