Snow, Wind, Rain Make for Treacherous AM Commute; Up to 5 Inches Expected for NYC

NYC is under a winter weather advisory as the five boroughs get their first legit snow storm of the season — here's the latest projections and forecast details for where you live

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With only a few official weeks of winter left, a storm could finally bring New York City some accumulating snowfall (if anyone's still interested), while other parts of the tri-state area, including much of the Hudson Valley and northern New Jersey, could see more than a half-foot associated with this system.

At this point, New York City and Long Island, which are under a winter weather advisory, could see 3 to 5 inches of snow, though sleet and rain will likely mix in at times. There is some mix of snow and rain expected in NYC overnight, bringing down totals a bit from where they were earlier in the day — but New Yorkers can still expect to wake up to wintry conditions.

Snow started to fall in the city around 6 p.m. and we could see snowfall rates of up to an inch an hour at times — and those bursts of heavier snow could make for treacherous driving conditions throughout the night in northern New Jersey, the Hudson Valley and Connecticut (Fairfield County is under a winter storm warning until 10 a.m.). Snow will continue to fall through Tuesday's morning commute in those areas. We'll also see strong winds develop, with gusts of 30-40 mph, especially near the coast.

Borderline temperatures in the city will likely impact snow totals, but snow may fall steadily enough at night to overcome above-freezing temperatures and actually yield some ruler-worthy (or sort of, anyway) totals for the five boroughs. Up to 8 inches are possible for parts of northern New Jersey -- and a winter storm warning has been issued for areas of Passaic and Morris counties, where heavier bands of snow are expected. Check the latest weather alerts here.

Storm Team 4

In addition to having heavy impacts on commutes, the storm has had ramifications for air travel as well. Nearly 150 flights at JFK Airport had been canceled as of after midnight on Tuesday.

Winter Storm Timeline and Expectations


  • NYC: Snow continues; slushy accumulations possible; gusty east to southeast wind; minor coastal flooding possible after midnight with approaching high tide (2 a.m.)
  • Lower Hudson Valley (Westchester, Putnam, Rockland and Orange counties): Light snow accumulations as temperatures trend down, close to freezing
  • Upper Hudson Valley (Dutchess, Ulster counties): Snow continues to accumulate, a few inches possible by 11 p.m.; temperatures at or below freezing

coastal flood
Storm Team 4


  • NYC: Rain/snow mix; temperatures still above freezing; gusty northeast wind; messy morning commute
  • Lower Hudson Valley (Westchester, Putnam, Rockland and Orange counties): Steady snow starts to taper off; 3 to 5 inches look likely; messy morning commute
  • Upper Hudson Valley (Dutchess, Ulster counties): Snow pulls away by 7 a.m.; 5 to 8 inches of accumulation possible, though subject to change; messy morning commute

Gov. Kathy Hochul said New York state stood ready to assist local governments with weather efforts as needed. Stay with Storm Team 4 for all the latest developments. Sign up for our newsletters here.

What's Next?

Once this system moves out, we're looking at another warming trend, with temperatures expected to climb back near 60 degrees on Thursday. The next storm Friday continues to be worth watching, with wind, rain and snow back in play.

Here's the extended weather outlook.

Track any approaching precipitation using our interactive radar below.

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